\n<\/p>\n
CBO, 2023-2053 d\u00f6nemine ili\u015fkin uzun vadeli tahminlerinin yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 B\u00fct\u00e7e G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Raporu’nu yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n 2023’te GSYH’nin y\u00fczde 5,8’ine e\u015fit olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n, 2027’de y\u00fczde 5’e d\u00fc\u015fece\u011finin ve ard\u0131ndan her y\u0131l artarak 2053’te y\u00fczde 10’a ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n tahmin edildi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n
Toplam a\u00e7\u0131ktaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n harcamalar\u0131n gelirlerden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edilen raporda, faiz d\u0131\u015f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n, hem 2023 hem de 2053’te GSYH’nin y\u00fczde 3,3’\u00fcne denk gelece\u011fi ancak artan faiz maliyetlerinin toplam a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, y\u0131l sonunda ABD’nin kamu borcunun, GSYH’nin y\u00fczde 98’ine denk gelece\u011fine i\u015faret edilerek, daha sonra borcun y\u00fckselerek 2029’da y\u00fczde 107 ile tarihi zirvesini a\u015faca\u011f\u0131 ve 2053’te y\u00fczde 181’e t\u0131rmanaca\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fcksek ve artan borcun, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi yava\u015flataca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret edilen raporda, yabanc\u0131lara faiz \u00f6demelerinin art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131, ABD tahvili sahipleri ile mali ve ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli riskler de olu\u015fturdu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, 2023’te Kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131na yan\u0131t olarak yap\u0131lan federal harcamalar\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na de\u011finilerek ancak n\u00fcfusun ya\u015flanmas\u0131 ve artan sa\u011fl\u0131k hizmeti maliyetlerinin gelecek 30 y\u0131lda federal harcamalar\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131 \u00e7izildi.<\/p>\n
Harcamalar\u0131n, bu y\u0131l GSYH’ye oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 24,2’ye d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi ve 2026’ya kadar da d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam edece\u011fi belirtilen raporda, harcamalar\u0131n 2053’te ise GSYH’nin y\u00fczde 29,1’ine ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, gelirlerin 2023’te GSYH’nin y\u00fczde 18,4’\u00fcne d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fine ve 2026’ya kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fine i\u015faret edilerek, gelirlerin bu tarihten sonra genel olarak artarak 2053’te GSYH’nin y\u00fczde 19,1’ine ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 bildirildi.<\/p>\n
Bir \u00f6nceki tahminlere g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fikliklere de yer verilen raporda, federal borcun GSYH’ye oran\u0131n\u0131n 2023’te 2 puan daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu, 2052’de ise 9 puan daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n