<\/p>\n
Merkezi Londra’da bulunan sa\u011fl\u0131k veri hizmetleri ve analiz \u015firketi Airfinity’nin yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 analizde, salg\u0131n\u0131n toplam 112 milyon ki\u015fiyi etkilemesinin tahmin edildi\u011fini bildirdi.<\/p>\n
Yeni salg\u0131n dalgas\u0131n\u0131n, k\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131nda 1 milyardan fazla ki\u015finin enfekte oldu\u011fu salg\u0131na k\u0131yasla daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 yay\u0131lma g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi g\u00f6zleniyor.<\/p>\n
Arfinity, salg\u0131n\u0131n haziran ba\u015f\u0131nda haftada 11 milyon vakayla zirve noktas\u0131 ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcrken, bunun \u00c7inli solunum hastal\u0131klar\u0131 uzman\u0131 Cong Nan\u015fan’\u0131n bir s\u00fcre \u00f6nce ortaya att\u0131\u011f\u0131 haftada 65 milyon vaka tahminin be\u015fte biri kadar oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n
Tahminler aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n, Airfinity’nin modelinde hastal\u0131k belirtisi g\u00f6stermeyen vakalar\u0131n toplama dahil edilmemesinden kaynaklanabilece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan \u015firket, bu enfeksiyon dalgas\u0131nda 629 bin can kayb\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. \u015eirket, k\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan b\u00fcy\u00fck salg\u0131n dalgas\u0131nda 1,3 milyon ila 2,1 milyon ki\u015finin hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti\u011fi tahmininde bulunmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
\u00c7in’in “s\u0131f\u0131r vaka” ad\u0131 verilen kat\u0131 salg\u0131n kontrol ve \u00f6nleme tedbirlerini terk edip vir\u00fcsle ya\u015famaya y\u00f6nelik bir strateji benimsemesiyle, daha \u00f6nce benzer tedbirleri uygulay\u0131p daha sonra kald\u0131ran Japonya ve G\u00fcney Kore’de oldu\u011fu gibi \u00e7ok say\u0131da “yeniden enfeksiyon” dalgas\u0131n\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Airfinity’nin Kovid-19 epidemolo\u011fu Dr. Tishya Venkatraman, \u00c7in’in alt\u0131 ay \u00f6nce ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck salg\u0131n dalgas\u0131n\u0131n geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 do\u011fal ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, \u00fcstelik o g\u00fcnlerden bu yana a\u015f\u0131lamada daha fazla mesafe kaydedildi\u011fini belirterek, “XBB alt varyant\u0131n\u0131n etkisine ra\u011fmen \u00c7in’de daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 ve daha az \u015fiddetli bir ikinci dalga bekliyoruz.” dedi.<\/p>\n
Hastanelerde ve morglarda k\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131nda oldu\u011fu kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir yo\u011funluk g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi\u011fine i\u015faret eden Venkatraman, “Her ne kadar s\u00fcregelen dalga daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 olsa da \u00c7in’de ya\u015flanan n\u00fcfusun artmas\u0131 nedeniyle hala b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 can kayb\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. Bunu Japonya’daki son dalgada g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Y\u00fcksek a\u015f\u0131lanma oran\u0131na ve \u00f6nceki dalgalardaki ba\u011f\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011fa ra\u011fmen \u00e7ok say\u0131da can kayb\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131.” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u00c7in’de son salg\u0131n dalgas\u0131na dair resmi veri bulunmuyor. Hatal\u0131k Kontrol ve \u00d6nleme Merkezi (CDC), D\u00fcnya Sa\u011fl\u0131k \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn (DS\u00d6) may\u0131s ba\u015f\u0131nda Kovid-19’un “k\u00fcresel sa\u011fl\u0131k acil durumu” say\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan haftal\u0131k pozitif test ve kliniklere ba\u015fvuru rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu arada DS\u00d6’y\u00fc d\u00fczenli bilgilendirmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcren CDC, 21-28 May\u0131s haftas\u0131nda \u00fclke genelinde 5 bin 621 vaka tespit edildi\u011fini bildirmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
\u00dclkede yayg\u0131n testler art\u0131k yap\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan rakamlar\u0131n salg\u0131n tablosunu yans\u0131tmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n
\u00c7in’de Kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri, “s\u0131f\u0131r vaka” olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 kapanma, karantina ve seyahat k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n\u0131 gerektiren salg\u0131n kontrol tedbirlerinin 7 Aral\u0131k 2022’de aniden kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131yla vakalar h\u0131zla artm\u0131\u015f, \u00fclke bug\u00fcne dek g\u00f6r\u00fclen en b\u00fcy\u00fck kitlesel yay\u0131lmayla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. K\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131ndaki salg\u0131n dalgas\u0131nda n\u00fcfusun yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 80’nini olu\u015fturan 1 milyardan fazla ki\u015finin enfekte oldu\u011fu tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n