2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7esinin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine, TBMM Plan ve B\u00fct\u00e7e Komisyonunda ba\u015fland\u0131. Komisyon, AK Parti Samsun Milletvekili Mehmet Mu\u015f ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda topland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Mu\u015f, b\u00fct\u00e7e m\u00fczakerelerinin bir ayl\u0131k bir s\u00fcrede ve ard\u0131 ard\u0131na ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilece\u011fini, toplam 226 Say\u0131\u015ftay raporunun ele al\u0131naca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlatt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Komisyondaki b\u00fct\u00e7e g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme takvimine ili\u015fkin bilgi veren Mu\u015f, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Cevdet Y\u0131lmaz’\u0131n bug\u00fcn komisyona yapaca\u011f\u0131 sunumunun ard\u0131ndan ara vereceklerini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Mehmet Mu\u015f, kamu kurum ve kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00e7e g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin 24 Kas\u0131m Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc tamamlanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade ederek g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin hay\u0131rl\u0131 u\u011furlu olmas\u0131 temennisinde bulundu.<\/p>\n
Daha sonra, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Y\u0131lmaz, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7esinin sunumuna ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.aa.com.tr\/uploads\/userFiles\/de89f914-66b1-4a0b-9347-13c0eafe70cc\/2023%2F10%2F20231020_2_60805206_93877118.jpg\"\/)
<\/p>\n
Y\u0131lmaz, 2024 Y\u0131l\u0131 Merkezi Y\u00f6netim B\u00fct\u00e7e Kanunu Teklifi ve 2022 Y\u0131l\u0131 Merkezi Y\u00f6netim Kesin Hesap Kanunu Teklifi’ne ili\u015fkin TBMM Plan ve B\u00fct\u00e7e Komisyonunda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sunumda, orta ve uzun vadeli hedeflerle uyumlu \u015fekilde haz\u0131rlanan 2024 Y\u0131l\u0131 B\u00fct\u00e7e Kanunu Teklifi’nin, Meclisin onay\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, T\u00fcrkiye Y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131’n\u0131n ilk b\u00fct\u00e7esi olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Cumhuriyet’in yeni y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131nda daha da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi in\u015fa ve ihya b\u00fct\u00e7esi oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
B\u00fct\u00e7e teklifinin i\u00e7erdi\u011fi 67 ayr\u0131 program alan\u0131 ile “diren\u00e7li \u015fehirler, diren\u00e7li ekonomi ve diren\u00e7li toplum” \u00f6nceliklerini esas ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulayan Y\u0131lmaz, bu b\u00fct\u00e7eyle depremle y\u0131k\u0131lan \u015fehirleri daha iyi \u015fekilde yeniden aya\u011fa kald\u0131racaklar\u0131n\u0131, gelece\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fck afet risklerini azaltacaklar\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/p>\n
“Mali disiplini esas alan, maliye ve para politikalar\u0131 koordinasyonunu g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren, yap\u0131sal reformlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karan bir anlay\u0131\u015f ile ekonomimizde istikrar\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 hale getirece\u011fiz.” diyen Y\u0131lmaz, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7esinin yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131, istihdam\u0131, \u00fcretimi ve ihracat\u0131 destekleyen, insan odakl\u0131 ve sosyal refah\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131mla haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131lmaz, t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyayla birlikte T\u00fcrkiye’yi de olumsuz etkileyen hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcstesinden ortak ak\u0131lla belirlenen ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i politikalarla geleceklerini ifade ederek b\u00fct\u00e7enin ayn\u0131 zamanda enerji ve g\u0131da arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi ve dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm gibi alanlarda \u00fclkenin elini daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lendirecek yap\u0131da oldu\u011funu dile getirdi.<\/p>\n
“Diplomaside belirleyici rol\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fiz”<\/h3>\n
B\u00f6lgedeki kriz ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara ra\u011fmen g\u00fcvenli bir liman olarak T\u00fcrkiye’nin dimdik ayakta durmas\u0131n\u0131, bar\u0131\u015f eksenli etkili diplomasiyle demokratik istikrar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmeye, milli birlik ve beraberli\u011fi peki\u015ftirmeye devam edeceklerini anlatan Y\u0131lmaz, \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti:<\/p>\n
“Son g\u00fcnlerde, \u0130srail ve Filistin ba\u011flam\u0131nda ya\u015fanan insani dram\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 ortadad\u0131r. Bug\u00fcnler Filistinli karde\u015flerimizin ac\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 payla\u015fmak i\u00e7in ilan edilen yas g\u00fcnleridir. Bu vesileyle ben de \u0130srail\u2019in sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 sonucunda \u015fehit d\u00fc\u015fen karde\u015flerimize Allah\u2019tan rahmet, yaralananlara Allah\u2019tan acil \u015fifalar diliyorum. Gazze\u2019de ya\u015fayan halk\u0131n su, elektrik, yak\u0131t, g\u0131da, ila\u00e7 gibi en temel insani ihtiya\u00e7lardan mahrum b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131, uluslararas\u0131 hukuka, temel hak ve \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fcklere a\u00e7\u0131k bir ayk\u0131r\u0131l\u0131k te\u015fkil etmektedir. Hastaneleri, camileri bile bombalanan Filistinliler i\u00e7in bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 savunmak insanl\u0131k g\u00f6revidir. Daha fazla masum kan\u0131 d\u00f6k\u00fclmemesi i\u00e7in \u00e7aba sarf etmek hepimizin ortak sorumlulu\u011fudur. T\u00fcrkiye B\u00fcy\u00fck Millet Meclisi, 12 Ekim g\u00fcn\u00fc kabul etti\u011fi Ortak Bildiri\u2019yle bu haks\u0131zl\u0131klara kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir duru\u015f sergilemi\u015ftir. Bu insani ve onurlu duru\u015fundan dolay\u0131 Meclis’imizin t\u00fcm gruplar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6n\u00fclden tebrik ediyorum. T\u00fcm d\u00fcnyay\u0131, \u00f6zellikle ba\u015fta BM olmak \u00fczere t\u00fcm uluslararas\u0131 toplumu bu vah\u015fetin son bulmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme katk\u0131 vermeye davet ediyoruz. T\u00fcrkiye olarak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ve ac\u0131lar\u0131n sonland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, soruna adil ve kal\u0131c\u0131 bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulunmas\u0131 yolunda \u00fczerimize d\u00fc\u015feni kararl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeye devam edece\u011fiz. B\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel dengelerin anahtar \u00fclkesi olarak diplomaside belirleyici rol\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fiz.”<\/p>\n
Y\u0131lmaz, son y\u0131llarda b\u00fct\u00e7eleri olumsuz k\u00fcresel ve b\u00f6lgesel ko\u015fullar\u0131n etkisi alt\u0131nda haz\u0131rlad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ifade ederek 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7esini de d\u00fcnya ekonomisinde s\u00fcregelen zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, artan risk ve belirsizlikleri dikkate alarak haz\u0131rlad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n
K\u00fcresel ekonomide 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda ya\u015fanan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc toparlanma sonras\u0131nda 2022\u2019de daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fine dikkati \u00e7eken Y\u0131lmaz, toplam talebin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi ile e\u015f zamanl\u0131 olarak ya\u015fanan arz sorunlar\u0131, neticesinde, ba\u015fta g\u0131da ve enerji olmak \u00fczere, emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda tarihi y\u00fcksek seviyeler g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, bu d\u00f6nemde ba\u015flayan Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n g\u0131da ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki dalgalanmay\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 boyunca k\u00fcresel fiyat d\u00fczeyinin, al\u0131nan \u00f6nlemlerle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecine girmi\u015f olsa da halen tarihsel ortalamalar\u0131n \u00fczerinde seyretti\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131lmaz, k\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde artan politik ve ticari gerilimlerin, ekonomik ve siyasi alanda \u00e7ok say\u0131da de\u011fi\u015fime sebep oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ederek ticarette kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlama ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n belirsizliklere yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel ekonomik aktivite \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011funu ve b\u00f6lgesel d\u00fczeyde rekabetin belirginle\u015fip m\u00fcttefik \u00fclkeler ayr\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/p>\n
Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da beliren sava\u015f ortam\u0131n\u0131n, insani boyutta kabul edilemez sonu\u00e7lara yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 ve daha geni\u015f bir co\u011frafyaya yay\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde, k\u00fcresel ekonomik d\u00fczende ciddi olumsuz etkiler do\u011fabilece\u011fini dile getiren Y\u0131lmaz, “Jeopolitik risklerde g\u00f6r\u00fclen son t\u0131rman\u0131\u015flar, \u00f6zellikle enerji ve g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131 kanal\u0131yla k\u00fcresel enflasyonu etkileme potansiyeli ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r.” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131lmaz, k\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde diren\u00e7li hale gelen enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren yayg\u0131n bir bi\u00e7imde parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma e\u011filiminin bulundu\u011funu, ba\u015fta ABD ve Avrupa \u00fclkeleri olmak \u00fczere geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde politika faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n uzun s\u00fcredir g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen s\u0131kl\u0131kta y\u00fckseltildi\u011fini hat\u0131rlatarak s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fan finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n rezerv para birimlerinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine ve geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke para birimlerinde dalgalanmalara yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu geli\u015fmeler ve zay\u0131flamas\u0131 beklenen talep g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc nedeniyle k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmede ivme kayb\u0131 ihtimalinin giderek kuvvetlendi\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n
“Ekonomiler aras\u0131nda ciddi farklar olu\u015fmas\u0131 beklenmektedir”<\/h3>\n
Ya\u015fanan b\u00f6lgesel sava\u015flar nedeniyle finansal piyasalarda g\u00fcvenli limanlara y\u00f6nelme e\u011filiminin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, para ve emtia piyasalar\u0131nda dalgalanmalar\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve enflasyonla m\u00fccadele edilirken durgunlu\u011fa girilmemesi i\u00e7in \u00fclke merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fc ad\u0131mlar atmas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcndeme geldi\u011fini bildiren Y\u0131lmaz, konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc:<\/p>\n
“S\u00fcregelen riskler ve belirsizlikler k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ili\u015fkin ihtiyatl\u0131 tahminleri beraberinde getirmektedir. Nitekim Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonunun (IMF) 2023 Y\u0131l\u0131 Ekim Ay\u0131 D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nda, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydetmesinin ard\u0131ndan, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3,0 ve 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2,9 ile daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2,6 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin belirgin ivme kaybederek 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1,5, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise y\u00fczde 1,4 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi beklenmektedir. B\u00f6lgelere ve \u00fclkelere \u00f6zg\u00fc ayr\u0131\u015fmalar nedeniyle b\u00fcy\u00fcme performanslar\u0131nda ekonomiler aras\u0131nda ciddi farklar olu\u015fmas\u0131 beklenmektedir. 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda ABD\u2019nin y\u00fczde 2,1, Avro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin y\u00fczde 0,7 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmekte iken 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda bu ekonomilerin s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 1,5 ve y\u00fczde 1,2 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmin edilmektedir.<\/p>\n
Ba\u015fl\u0131ca ticaret ortaklar\u0131m\u0131zdan biri olan Almanya\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri 2023\u2019te y\u00fczde eksi 0,5, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0,9\u2019dur. Fransa\u2019n\u0131n 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 1,0, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini ise 1,3\u2019t\u00fcr. \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0,5 ve 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0,6 olarak tahmin edilmektedir. 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen y\u00fckselen piyasa ve geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerin ise 2023 ve 2024 y\u0131llar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4,0 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmeleri beklenmektedir. Bu kapsamda, \u00c7in\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilerek 2023\u2019te y\u00fczde 5,0, 2024\u2019te ise y\u00fczde 4,2 olmu\u015ftur.”<\/p>\n
Y\u0131lmaz, s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fan ko\u015fullar ve jeopolitik gerilimlerle birlikte IMF\u2019ye g\u00f6re k\u00fcresel mal ve hizmet ticaretinde bu y\u0131l ancak y\u00fczde 0,9 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinin beklendi\u011fini bildirerek 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise ticaret hacmindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n tekrar toparlanarak y\u00fczde 3,5\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n tahmin edildi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
K\u00fcresel enflasyonun son y\u0131llarda 2000\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n ortalama seviyesinin yakla\u015f\u0131k iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkati \u00e7eken Y\u0131lmaz, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k man\u015fet enflasyon oranlar\u0131nda baz etkisi ve emtia fiyatlar\u0131ndaki \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon oranlar\u0131nda ise azal\u0131\u015f\u0131n hizmet fiyatlar\u0131ndaki kat\u0131l\u0131k sebebiyle daha yava\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n
Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Y\u0131lmaz, emtia fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n jeopolitik gerilim ve iklim ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle daha de\u011fi\u015fken bir hal almas\u0131n\u0131n, enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede yerinde ve yeterince s\u0131k\u0131 politika duru\u015funun sergilenememesi ile talep ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n destekleyici olmaya devam etmesinin k\u00fcresel enflasyondaki yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskleri canl\u0131 tuttu\u011funu kaydetti.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131lmaz, 2022’de Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 sonucu tedarik zincirlerinde ya\u015fanan aksakl\u0131klar ve k\u00fcresel enerji ile g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sonucu olu\u015fan olumsuzluklara ra\u011fmen, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi destekleyici politika ve tedbirlerle T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 d\u00fczeyde etkilendi\u011fini, iktisadi faaliyetin canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirtti.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye’nin y\u00fczde 5,5 ile OECD \u00fclkeleri ortalamas\u0131 olan y\u00fczde 2,9’un olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerinde bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131na ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve 13 y\u0131ll\u0131k kesintisiz b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek olumlu ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydeden Y\u0131lmaz, bununla birlikte 2020-2022 d\u00f6neminde k\u00fcm\u00fclatif olarak, d\u00fcnya ekonomisi y\u00fczde 7 b\u00fcy\u00fcrken T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 20 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
Cevdet Y\u0131lmaz, “2023’\u00fcn ilk yar\u0131s\u0131 itibar\u0131yla kuvvetli i\u00e7 talep ve hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde y\u00fczde 3,9 b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile son 12 \u00e7eyrektir kesintisiz b\u00fcy\u00fcme s\u00fcrecimiz devam etmi\u015ftir. Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda turizm ve i\u00e7 talepteki seyrin ekonomik faaliyetlerdeki olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc koruyarak b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi desteklemesi beklenmektedir. K\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde ekonomik durgunluk belirtilerine ra\u011fmen 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 genelinde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin y\u00fczde 4,4 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahmin edilmektedir.” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 itibar\u0131yla yakla\u015f\u0131k 906 milyar dolar Gayri Safi Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Has\u0131la (GSYH) b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcyle d\u00fcnyada 19’uncu s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve IMF raporunda yer alan tahminlere g\u00f6re bu y\u0131l sonu itibar\u0131yla 17’nci s\u0131raya kadar y\u00fckselece\u011finin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc kaydeden Y\u0131lmaz, s\u00f6zlerini \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc:<\/p>\n
“Sat\u0131n Alma G\u00fcc\u00fc Paritesi cinsinden GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne g\u00f6re ise \u00fclkemizin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck 11\u2019inci ekonomisi konumunu korumas\u0131 beklenmektedir. Kaydedilen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131yla 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda 28 bin 299 dolar olan Sat\u0131n Alma G\u00fcc\u00fc Paritesi cinsinden ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na gelirin 2023’te art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek 41 bin 354 dolar seviyesine kadar y\u00fckselmesi ve 2022’de y\u00fczde 69 olan AB ortalamas\u0131na yak\u0131nsama oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 72,2’ye ula\u015fmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. 2024’te ise ekonominin \u00fcretim ve talep y\u00f6n\u00fcyle dengeli bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergileyerek, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bile\u015fenleri olan net ihracat ve sabit sermaye yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir yap\u0131yla y\u00fczde 4,0 b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131na ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 hedeflenmektedir.”<\/p>\n
“Deprem felaketine ra\u011fmen ihracatta k\u00fcresel pay\u0131m\u0131z artmaya devam ediyor”<\/h3>\n
Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Y\u0131lmaz, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomik aktivitenin istihdam olu\u015fturma kapasitesi \u00fczerinde olumlu etkileriyle, istihdam\u0131n bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde tarihi y\u00fcksek seviyelerine ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, “Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda turizm ve i\u00e7 talepteki seyrin ekonomik faaliyetlerdeki olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc koruyarak b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi desteklemesi beklenmektedir. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda net 220 bin istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015f olup 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 genelinde ekonomideki canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrmesiyle y\u0131l sonu itibar\u0131yla istihdamdaki y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n 900 bini a\u015farak i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 10,1’e gerilemesi; 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise y\u00fczde 10,3 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi beklenmektedir. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131ll\u0131k s\u00fcre\u00e7te istihdam\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama 909 bin ki\u015fi artaca\u011f\u0131 ve i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m oranlar\u0131nda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 itibar\u0131yla tek haneli seviyelere kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini tahmin etmekteyiz.” dedi.<\/p>\n
Enflasyonun d\u00fcnya genelinde bir sorun haline geldi\u011fi son y\u0131llarda, makroekonomik ve finansal istikrar\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 bir \u015fekilde g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek amac\u0131yla \u00e7e\u015fitli tedbirlerin hayata ge\u00e7irildi\u011fine dikkati \u00e7eken Y\u0131lmaz, “Son d\u00f6nemde para politikas\u0131nda g\u00fcncelleme ve makro ihtiyati tedbirlerde sadele\u015ftirme ile parasal aktar\u0131m mekanizmas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek, makro finansal istikrar\u0131 sa\u011flamla\u015ft\u0131rmak ama\u00e7lanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Para ve maliye politikalar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki e\u015f g\u00fcd\u00fcm\u00fc sa\u011flayan, \u015feffaf ve g\u00fcvenilir politika ad\u0131mlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n olumlu etkileri ile 2024 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren kal\u0131c\u0131 bir dezenflasyon s\u00fcrecine girmeyi bekliyoruz. \u0130\u00e7inden ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz bu d\u00f6nemi, ge\u00e7i\u015f s\u00fcreci olarak tan\u0131mlayarak dezenflasyon s\u00fcrecinin ba\u015flamas\u0131 i\u00e7in gerekli ad\u0131mlar\u0131 atmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmekteyiz. Bu do\u011frultuda, enflasyon kal\u0131c\u0131 ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tek haneli seviyelere gerileyene kadar t\u00fcm politika ara\u00e7lar\u0131 kararl\u0131l\u0131kla kullan\u0131lmaya devam edilecektir.” de\u011ferlendirmelerinde bulundu.<\/p>\n
Cevdet Y\u0131lmaz, bu y\u0131l k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte devam eden s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 para politikas\u0131 uygulamalar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomik aktivite \u00fczerindeki etkilerinin \u00f6zellikle ana ihracat pazar\u0131 olan Avrupa ekonomilerinde daha da \u015fiddetli bir \u015fekilde hissedildi\u011fini ifade ederek, Avrupa ekonomileri i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerinin, salg\u0131n d\u00f6nemi hari\u00e7 tutuldu\u011funda son y\u0131llar\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine indi\u011fini anlatt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131lmaz, \u015f\u00f6yle konu\u015ftu:<\/p>\n
“Buna ra\u011fmen 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ihracat\u0131m\u0131z 253,5 milyar dolar seviyelerinde bulunmaktad\u0131r. Zay\u0131flayan d\u0131\u015f pazar ve \u015eubat ay\u0131nda ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z deprem felaketine ra\u011fmen ihracatta k\u00fcresel pay\u0131m\u0131z artmaya devam etmektedir. K\u00fcresel ihracattan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z pay y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 1,03; ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde ise y\u00fczde 1,05 d\u00fczeyinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. Bu art\u0131\u015fta, d\u0131\u015f pazarlarda aktif bir \u015fekilde faaliyet g\u00f6steren ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z ile onlara uygun bir i\u015f yapma ortam\u0131 sunan politikalar\u0131m\u0131z temel belirleyici unsurlar olmu\u015ftur. 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda ihracat hedefimiz olan 267 milyar dolara ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in gerekli t\u00fcm politika ad\u0131mlar\u0131 hayata ge\u00e7irilecektir. K\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde yeni e\u011filimleri dikkate alarak rekabet\u00e7ili\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek ve tedarik zincirlerinde ya\u015fanan de\u011fi\u015fimlerle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak f\u0131rsatlardan azami \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yararlanmak \u00fczere t\u00fcm g\u00fcc\u00fcm\u00fczle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fiz.”<\/p>\n
“KOB\u0130’lere sa\u011flanan kredilerin pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 27,9’a \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r”<\/h3>\n
Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Y\u0131lmaz, ithalat taraf\u0131nda ise gelecek d\u00f6nemde s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 politikalar\u0131n da etkisiyle son iki ayd\u0131r s\u00fcregelen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn devam edece\u011fini ve cari i\u015flemler dengesinde iyile\u015fme ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fcklerini bildirdi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye’nin turizm geliri ve ziyaret\u00e7i say\u0131s\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan salg\u0131n \u00f6ncesinden daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir performans sergiledi\u011fini, bu geli\u015fmelerin hizmetler dengesi \u00fczerinden cari i\u015flemler dengesine olumlu yans\u0131malar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc dile getiren Y\u0131lmaz, “Turizm sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc performans\u0131yla 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda turizm gelirlerimizin 55,6 milyar dolar ile rekor bir seviyeye ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Bu geli\u015fmeler neticesinde 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 sonu itibar\u0131yla cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n GSYH oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 4 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi beklenmektedir.” \u015feklinde konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131lmaz, finansal piyasalar\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Eyl\u00fcl 2023 itibar\u0131yla bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn tahsili gecikmi\u015f alacaklar oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 1,5 ile tarihi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelere geriledi\u011fini ifade ederek, A\u011fustos 2023 itibar\u0131yla y\u00fczde 18,5 olan Sermaye Yeterlilik Rasyosu’nun da sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn beklenmeyen \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tamponlara sahip oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye’nin, hanehalk\u0131 ve reel sekt\u00f6r bor\u00e7lulu\u011fu bak\u0131m\u0131ndan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir risklili\u011fe sahip oldu\u011funa dikkati \u00e7eken Y\u0131lmaz, Uluslararas\u0131 \u00d6demeler Bankas\u0131 veri taban\u0131na g\u00f6re, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fi itibar\u0131yla T\u00fcrkiye’nin hanehalk\u0131 borcunun GSYH’ye oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 11,4 iken, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 48,4 oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131lmaz, “T\u00fcrkiye, finansal kesim d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki firmalar\u0131n borcunun GSYH’ye oran\u0131nda da 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fi itibar\u0131yla y\u00fczde 51,9 ile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck risklili\u011fe sahiptir. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 ortalamas\u0131 y\u00fczde 111,4’t\u00fcr. \u0130hracat, yat\u0131r\u0131m ve \u00fcretimi desteklemek amac\u0131yla etkileri 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finden bu yana izlenen hedefli kredi politikalar\u0131 sonucunda bu kredilerin; toplam krediler i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 mart ay\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 17,5 seviyesinden 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 a\u011fustos ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla y\u00fczde 19,4 seviyesine y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde KOB\u0130’lere sa\u011flanan kredilerin pay\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 23’ten y\u00fczde 27,9’a \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.” bilgisini verdi.<\/p>\n
Bu y\u0131l haziran ay\u0131ndan itibaren para politikas\u0131nda kademeli faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve makro ihtiyati politikalarda sadele\u015fme s\u00fcrecinin y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc an\u0131msatan Y\u0131lmaz, “At\u0131lan ad\u0131mlarla kredi piyasas\u0131n\u0131n i\u015flevselli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rken t\u00fcketici kredilerindeki art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n daha dengeli bir patikaya gelmesi sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Y\u0131ll\u0131k t\u00fcketici kredi art\u0131\u015f\u0131 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 Nisan ay\u0131nda en y\u00fcksek de\u011ferini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla y\u00fczde 50’nin alt\u0131na gerilemi\u015ftir.” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131lmaz, hazine destekli KGF paketleri haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken yat\u0131r\u0131m ve ihracat odakl\u0131 ama\u00e7lar \u00f6n planda tutularak kredilerin \u00f6ncelikli sekt\u00f6rlere kulland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na \u00f6zen g\u00f6sterildi\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n
“Toplam 7,5 milyar dolar d\u0131\u015f finansman sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r”<\/h3>\n
Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Y\u0131lmaz, merkezi y\u00f6netim yurt i\u00e7i bor\u00e7 stokunun vadeye kalan s\u00fcresinde de iyile\u015fmenin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc dile getirerek, s\u00f6zlerini \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc:<\/p>\n
“2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda 3 y\u0131l olan i\u00e7 bor\u00e7lanman\u0131n ortalama vadesi 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda 3,6 y\u0131la, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n a\u011fustos ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla ise 3,8 y\u0131la y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir. 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 d\u0131\u015f finansman program\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde, nisan ay\u0131nda Hazine taraf\u0131ndan uluslararas\u0131 piyasalarda ilk ye\u015fil tahvil ihrac\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmi\u015f, 2,5 milyar dolar tutar\u0131ndaki ihra\u00e7ta, ihra\u00e7 tutar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7 kat\u0131ndan fazla talep gelmi\u015ftir. S\u00f6z konusu ye\u015fil tahvil ihrac\u0131 ile ocak ve mart aylar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen di\u011fer iki ihra\u00e7la birlikte toplam 7,5 milyar dolar tutar\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f finansman sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.”<\/p>\n
AB tan\u0131ml\u0131 genel y\u00f6netim bor\u00e7 stokunun, milli gelire oranla olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyede bulundu\u011funu belirten Y\u0131lmaz, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 sonuna g\u00f6re 10,1 puan d\u00fczeyinde bir gerilemeyle 2022’de y\u00fczde 31,7 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen AB tan\u0131ml\u0131 genel y\u00f6netim bor\u00e7 stokunun GSYH’ye oran\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fi itibar\u0131yla y\u00fczde 34 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini anlatt\u0131. Y\u0131lmaz, bu oran\u0131n AB \u00fclkelerinde bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 83,7 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n
Cevdet Y\u0131lmaz, mart 2023 itibar\u0131yla Uluslararas\u0131 \u00d6demeler Bankas\u0131 verilerine g\u00f6re kamu bor\u00e7 stokunun milli gelire oran\u0131n\u0131n, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerde y\u00fczde 67,4; geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde y\u00fczde 109,1 iken T\u00fcrkiye’de y\u00fczde 31,1 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini bildirdi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin hedeflenen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve istikrarl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi sa\u011flamas\u0131 i\u00e7in yurt i\u00e7i tasarruflar\u0131n \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade eden Y\u0131lmaz, “2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda GSYH\u2019ye oranla y\u00fczde 30,6 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen yurt i\u00e7i tasarruf oran\u0131, i\u00e7 t\u00fcketimdeki art\u0131\u015fa ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 30,0 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. 2003 y\u0131l\u0131nda faaliyete ba\u015flayan Bireysel Emeklilik Sistemi (BES) ve 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe giren Otomatik Kat\u0131l\u0131m Sistemi (OKS), devletimizin te\u015fvikleriyle birlikte tasarruflar\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir rol oynamaktad\u0131r.” \u015feklinde konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n