<\/p>\n
Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc’n\u00fcn (OPEC) 2045’e kadar k\u00fcresel ekonomi, enerji ve petrol talebi arz\u0131na ili\u015fkin orta ve uzun vadeli tahminlerini i\u00e7eren 2023 D\u00fcnya Petrol G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Raporu’na g\u00f6re, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l g\u00fcnl\u00fck 291 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri seviyesinde olan k\u00fcresel birincil enerji talebinin, g\u00fcnl\u00fck 68,3 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri (y\u00fczde 23) art\u0131\u015fla 2045’te g\u00fcnl\u00fck 359 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011ferine ula\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Kaynak baz\u0131nda, enerji politikalar\u0131 ve iklim taahh\u00fctleri nedeniyle k\u00f6m\u00fcr hari\u00e7 t\u00fcm birincil yak\u0131tlara olan talebin uzun vadede artmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Bu d\u00f6nemde en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin, bir\u00e7ok b\u00f6lgedeki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc politika deste\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak g\u00fcnl\u00fck 34,3 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri art\u0131\u015fla r\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015f ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere di\u011fer yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131nda ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l k\u00fcresel enerji kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131ndaki pay\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 2,7 olan di\u011fer yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n 2045’te y\u00fczde 11,7 paya sahip olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n
Rapora g\u00f6re, k\u00fcresel petrol talebinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme bekleniyor. Petrol\u00fcn, 2045’e kadar y\u00fczde 29,5 ile k\u00fcresel enerji kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131ndaki en b\u00fcy\u00fck pay\u0131 elinde tutaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
K\u00fcresel do\u011fal gaz talebinin de 2045’e kadar g\u00fcnl\u00fck 20 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri art\u0131\u015fla g\u00fcnl\u00fck 87 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011ferine y\u00fckselece\u011fi hesaplan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131n k\u00fcresel enerji kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131ndaki pay\u0131n\u0131n 2045’te, k\u00f6m\u00fcr talebindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak 2022’deki y\u00fczde 80 seviyesinden y\u00fczde 69 seviyelerine gerilemesi bekleniyor. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde, petrol ve gaz\u0131n enerji kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131ndaki toplam pay\u0131n\u0131n ise y\u00fczde 54 seviyesini koruyaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n
Rapora g\u00f6re, k\u00fcresel petrol talebinin 2028’de ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re g\u00fcnl\u00fck 10,6 milyon varil art\u0131\u015fla g\u00fcnl\u00fck 110,2 milyon varile ula\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
OECD d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fclkelerindeki talebin g\u00fcnl\u00fck 10,1 milyon varil art\u0131\u015fla 2028’de g\u00fcnl\u00fck 63,7 milyon varile y\u00fckselece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, orta vadede OECD \u00fclkelerindeki talebin g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 500 bin varil artaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n
Uzun vadede ise k\u00fcresel petrol talebinin 2045’te ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re g\u00fcnl\u00fck 16 milyon varilden fazla art\u0131\u015fla g\u00fcnl\u00fck 116 milyon varile ula\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
OECD d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fclkelerdeki talebin 2022-2045 d\u00f6neminde g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 26 milyon varil artaca\u011f\u0131 hesaplan\u0131rken, OECD \u00fclkelerinde ise g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 9,3 milyon varillik bir daralma \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Rapora g\u00f6re, OECD d\u0131\u015f\u0131 petrol talebindeki art\u0131\u015fa en b\u00fcy\u00fck katk\u0131n\u0131n Hindistan’dan gelece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n
S\u00f6z konusu d\u00f6nemde Hindistan’da g\u00fcnl\u00fck 6,6 milyon varil art\u0131\u015f beklenirken, talebin di\u011fer Asya \u00fclkelerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck 4,6 milyon varil, \u00c7in’de g\u00fcnl\u00fck 4 milyon varil, Afrika’da g\u00fcnl\u00fck 3,8 milyon varil ve Orta Do\u011fu’da g\u00fcnl\u00fck 3,6 milyon varil artaca\u011f\u0131 hesaplan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n