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Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Kalk\u0131nma \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn (OECD), \u201cEyl\u00fcl Ara D\u00f6nem Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu” yay\u0131mland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n beklenenden daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc geli\u015fme g\u00f6steren ABD ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l k\u00fcresel ekonomideki b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi destekleyece\u011fi ve zay\u0131flayan \u00c7in ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131l k\u00fcresel ekonomide bask\u0131 olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
OECD raporunda, \u201cK\u00fcresel ekonomi 2023’\u00fcn ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda beklenenden daha diren\u00e7li kald\u0131. Ancak b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc zay\u0131f kalmaya devam etmekte. Para politikas\u0131n\u0131n giderek daha g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr hale gelmesi ve \u00c7in ekonomisinden beklenenden daha zay\u0131f bir toparlanma ile 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2023’e g\u00f6re daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin edilmektedir.\u201d ifadeleri yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n
OECD, enflasyonist bask\u0131lar\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair net i\u015faretler gelene kadar merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek tutmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
OECD’nin 2023 ve 2024 y\u0131llar\u0131na ili\u015fkin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerine yer verilen raporda, haziranda 2023 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,7 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanan k\u00fcresel ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 3\u2019e revize edildi.<\/p>\n
K\u00fcresel ekonomide b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini 2024 i\u00e7in ise y\u00fczde 2,9\u2019dan y\u00fczde 2,7\u2019ye indirildi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik haziranda 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3,6 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanan b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini ise bug\u00fcn yay\u0131mlanan raporda y\u00fczde 4,3\u2019e y\u00fckseltildi.<\/p>\n
OECD raporunda T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 3,7\u2019den 2,6\u2019ya \u00e7ekilirken, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 enflasyon beklentisi ise y\u00fczde 44,8\u2019den 52,1\u2019e y\u00fckseltildi. Enflasyonun 2024\u2019te ise y\u00fczde 39,2\u2019ye inece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n etkilerine en do\u011frudan maruz kalan Avro B\u00f6lgesi’ne y\u00f6nelik bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 0,9\u2019dan 0,6\u2019ya \u00e7eken OECD, Almanya i\u00e7in 2023 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini ise y\u00fczde 0\u2019dan y\u00fczde eksi 0,2\u2019ye indirdi. OECD, Alman ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,9 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini tahmin etti.<\/p>\n
\u00d6rg\u00fct, Avro B\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7in 2024 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini ise y\u00fczde 1,5\u2019ten 1,1\u2019e indirdi.<\/p>\n
ABD ekonomisi i\u00e7in 2023 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini de y\u00fczde 1,6\u2019dan 2,2\u2019ye, 2024 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1\u2019den 1,3\u2019e y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n
OECD, \u00c7in ekonomisinin bu y\u0131lki y\u00fczde 5,1 ve gelecek y\u0131l 4,6 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi tahminine yer verdi.<\/p>\n
Haziran ay\u0131nda OECD, emlak piyasas\u0131nda sorunlar ya\u015fayan \u00c7in\u2019in bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 5,4, gelecek y\u0131l ise y\u00fczde 5,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
OECD, Almanya d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yaln\u0131zca Arjantin’in bu y\u0131l k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesini beklerken, Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapsaml\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131mlara maruz kalan Rusya da dahil olmak \u00fczere di\u011fer t\u00fcm b\u00fcy\u00fck sanayile\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n