\n<\/p>\n
\u00dclkede d\u00fcn Nationwide\u2019dan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamada konut fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n<\/strong> temmuzda y\u00fczde 3,8 azalarak son 14 y\u0131l\u0131n en sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc kaydetti\u011fi belirtilmi\u015fti. Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Standard & Poor’s’tan \u00fclkede imalat sanayi Sat\u0131nalma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi’nin (PMI) bir \u00f6nceki aydaki 46,5 seviyesinden temmuzda 45,3\u2019e d\u00fc\u015fmesine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmede de, \u201c\u0130ngiltere\u2019de imalat sanayisinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc temmuzda k\u00f6t\u00fc bir yola girdi, (sekt\u00f6rde) \u00fcretim \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131s\u0131, istihdam ve yeni sipari\u015flerindeki daralma h\u0131zland\u0131.\u201d ifadelerine yer verildi.<\/p>\n \u0130ngiliz ekonomisinin<\/strong> g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ili\u015fkin BBC Radyo 4\u2019e de\u011ferlendirmede bulunan Alianz Ba\u015fekonomisti Mohamed El-Erian, halk\u0131n artan konut kredilerinin, \u015firketlerin de y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerinin sanc\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 hissetti\u011fini, k\u00fcresel aktivitenin de (bu duruma) yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. El-Erian, \u201cEvet, ger\u00e7ekten resesyona girme riskimiz var.\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n RSM \u0130ngiltere ekonomisti Thomas Pugh, payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bas\u0131n bilgi notunda \u0130ngiliz ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda resesyona girebilece\u011fi tahmininde bulunarak, reel ekonominin y\u00fcksek politika faizlerinden olumsuz y\u00f6nde etkilendi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n Capital Economics Ba\u015fekonomisti Paul Dales de konuya ili\u015fkin bir bilgi notu payla\u015ft\u0131. Dales, enflasyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131z kesmesine ra\u011fmen \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) politika faizinde 50 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f bekledi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n \u00dclkede \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n \u00fccretlerinin y\u00fcksek enflasyon seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulayan Dales, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun 2024 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n sonuna kadar y\u00fczde 2 hedefine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclemeyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulundu.<\/p>\n \u0130ngiltere\u2019de gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131na kadar faizlerin zirve seviyesinde kalmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bulundu\u011funu belirten Dales, \u00fclke ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda ya da gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda resesyona girmesinin beklendi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n \u0130ngiliz Perakendeciler Birli\u011fi (Make UK) taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamada de\u011ferlendirmelerine yer verilen K\u0131demli Ekonomist Fhaheen Khan ise \u00fclkede end\u00fcstriyel strateji eksikli\u011finin en \u00e7ok \u0130ngiliz fabrikalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcretimini etkiledi\u011fini savundu.<\/p>\n Khan, \u201cBug\u00fcn\u00fcn imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc PMI verisi, ekonominin anemik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye do\u011fru kayd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve end\u00fcstrinin \u015fu anda bir durgunlukla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalma riski alt\u0131nda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n Forex.com Analisti Fawad Razaqzada da sosyal payla\u015f\u0131m platformu Twitter payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda, “\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n politika faizinde 25 baz puan art\u0131\u015fa giderek y\u00fczde 5,25\u2019e y\u00fckseltmesi piyasalar taraf\u0131ndan fiyatlanm\u0131\u015f durumda. Piyasalarda y\u0131l sonuna kadar iki kez daha faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na gidilmesi beklentisi var.\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n S&P Global\/CIPS\u2019ten bu sabah yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u00fclkede imalat sanayi PMI verisinin 45,3\u2019e gerileyerek 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n may\u0131s ay\u0131nda bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n BoE, enflasyonun may\u0131sta y\u00fczde 8,7 ile yap\u0131\u015fkan kalmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 50 baz puan art\u0131\u015fa giderek politika faizini y\u00fczde 4,50’den y\u00fczde 5’e \u00e7\u0131karm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n Piyasalar, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini y\u00fczde 5’ten y\u00fczde 5,25’e \u00e7\u0131kararak son 15 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine y\u00fckseltece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n“Ekonomi bu y\u0131l\u0131n sonu ya da gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda resesyona girebilir”<\/h3>\n
“Veriler end\u00fcstrinin durgunlukla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalma riski alt\u0131nda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor”<\/h3>\n